UK Property Market Rebounds with Record Sales and Declining Mortgage Rates in 2024

The Resurgence of the UK Property Market

The UK property market, as of October 2024, is witnessing a significant rebound in activity, with an impressive increase in the number of sales agreed upon, propelled by lower mortgage rates and improved buyer confidence. For those considering entering the property market, whether for residential purchases or investment in Houses in Multiple Occupation (HMOs), the current climate offers promising opportunities.

The substantial increase in market activity is a noteworthy development. In August alone, mortgage approvals reached 64,858, marking the highest level in two years. This upswing represents a 27% year-on-year increase in agreed sales, highlighting the renewed vigour within the market (Office for National Statistics, 2024). Such growth can be largely attributed to the recent shift in mortgage rates.

Buyer Confidence and Pricing Trends

Mortgage rates have trended downwards, with current averages for two-year and five-year fixed-rate mortgages at 3.94% and 3.74%, respectively. This decrease from previous highs of 4.68% and 4.28% in July has invigorated buyer confidence while simultaneously promoting more competitive pricing strategies among sellers (Bank of England, 2024). The adoption of realistic pricing has enabled quicker turnovers, with the average time to find a buyer now standing at 60 days, albeit three days longer than the previous year.

In terms of property price trends, the market has experienced its fastest growth since November 2022, boasting a 3.2% annual increase. With the average UK house price nearing its historical peak, sellers and investors can benefit from this lively market, despite the regional variations observed (Nationwide, 2024). Major cities like London, Manchester, and Birmingham remain the hotspots, while more rural areas maintain a steady, albeit modest, upward trajectory.

Supply Challenges and Economic Outlook

Contributing to this property market surge is an upsurge in available homes, the highest for the past eight years. The typical estate agent now has around 31 listings, a 20% increase from the same period last year (HM Land Registry, 2024). This expanded supply is expected to temper the previously rampant house price inflation, positioning the market favourably for stabilisation.

Despite these positive indicators, the market faces uncertainties tied to potential economic shifts in early 2025. Anticipated changes include adjustments to interest rates and inflation. Additionally, the upcoming Autumn Budget on October 30 could bring tax policy adjustments that might impact property investments, such as changes to capital taxation and non-dom tax rules (UK Government, 2024).

Key Takeaways

The UK property market is experiencing a resurgence fueled by declining mortgage rates, realistic pricing, and an increased supply of homes. Confidence is high, particularly in metropolitan areas, although challenges persist in the prime market due to economic uncertainties. Prospective investors and HMO buyers should remain vigilant in light of potential policy changes.

For more detailed insights, consider visiting sources like Office for National Statistics and Bank of England.

Sources

Office for National Statistics, 2024. UK Housing Market Statistics. [online] Available at: <https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/housing> [Accessed 24 October 2024].

Bank of England, 2024. Mortgage Rates. [online] Available at: <https://www.bankofengland.co.uk> [Accessed 24 October 2024].

Nationwide Building Society, 2024. House Price Index. [online] Available at: <https://www.nationwide.co.uk> [Accessed 24 October 2024].

HM Land Registry, 2024. Property Market Report. [online] Available at: <https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/land-registry> [Accessed 24 October 2024].

UK Government, 2024. Budget and Economical Policies. [online] Available at: <https://www.gov.uk/government/topical-events/snapping-deficit> [Accessed 24 October 2024].

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